Factors Associated with 30-Day in-Hospital Mortality Among Patients Admitted with Severe Covid-19 in Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital.

Background: COVID-19 has created a burden on the healthcare system globally. Severe COVID-19 is linked with high hospital mortality. Data regarding 30-day in-hospital mortality and its factors has not been explored in southwestern Uganda. Methods: We carried out a retrospective, single-center cohort study, and included all in-patients with laboratory-confirmed, radiological, or clinical severe COVID-19 admitted between April 2020 and September 2021 at Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital (MRRH). Demographic, laboratory, treatment, and clinical outcome data were extracted from patients' files. These data were described comparing survivors and non-survivors. We used logistic regression to explore the factors associated with 30-day in-hospital mortality. Results: Of the 283 patients with severe COVID-19 admitted at MRRH COVID-19 unit, 58.1% were male. The mean age ± standard deviation (SD) was 61±17.4 years; there were no differences in mean age between survivors and non-survivors (59 ± 17.2 versus 64.4 ±17.3, respectively, p=0.24) The median length of hospital stay was 7 (IQR 3-10) days (non-survivors had a shorter median length of stay 5 (IQR 2-9) days compared to the survivors; 8 (IQR 5-11) days, p<0.001. The most frequent comorbidities were hypertension (30.5%) and diabetes mellitus (30%). The overall 30-day in-hospital mortality was 134 of 279 (48%) mortality rate of 47,350×105 with a standard error of 2.99%. The factors associated with 30-day in-hospital mortality were age: 65 years and above (aOR, 3.88; 95% CI, 1.24-11.70; P =0.020) a neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio above 5 (aOR, 4.83; 95% CI, 1.53-15.28; P =0.007) and oxygen requirement ≥15L/min (aOR, 15.80; 95% CI, 5.17-48.25; P <0.001). Conclusion: We found a high 30-day in-hospital mortality among patients with severe forms of COVID-19. The identified factors could help clinicians to identify patients with poor prognosis at an early stage of admission.

Factors Associated With In-Hospital Post-Cardiac Arrest Survival in a Referral Level Hospital in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac arrest (CA) is still associated with high mortality and morbidity across all practice settings despite resuscitation attempts and advancements in its management. Patient outcomes vary and are affected by multiple factors. Nonetheless, there is a paucity of information on survival after CA and associated factors in low-resource settings such as East Africa where Uganda is located. This study set out to describe post-CA survival, associated factors, and neurological outcome at a hospital in Southwestern Uganda. METHODS: This was a descriptive study in which we followed up with resuscitated CA patients from any of the selected hospital locations at Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital in Southwestern Uganda. We included all patients who were resuscitated after an index CA in the operating room (OR), intensive care unit (ICU), the pediatric ward, or accident and emergency (A&E) wards. Details of resuscitation were obtained from resuscitation team leader interviews and patient medical records. We followed up with patients with return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) for up to 7 days after CA when neurological outcomes were measured using the age-appropriate Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) score. Factors affecting survival were then determined. RESULTS: A total of 74 participants were enrolled over 8 months. Seven-day survival was 14.86%. Eight of the 11 survivors had a CPC score of 1 seven days after CA. Admission with trauma was associated with increased mortality with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 4.06; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.19-13.82. Compared to the A&E ward, HR for index CA in OR, ICU, and pediatric ward was 0.15; 95% CI, 0.05-0.45; 0.67; 95% CI, 0.32-1.40, and 0.65; 95% CI, 0.25-1.69, respectively. Compared to cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) <10 minutes, the HR for CPR duration between 10 and 20 minutes was 2.26; 95% CI, 0.78-3.24 and for >20 minutes was 2.26; 95% CI, 1.12-4.56. Prevention of hypotension after ROSC was associated with decreased mortality with an HR of 0.23; 95% CI, 0.08-0.58. CONCLUSIONS: Whereas 7-day survival of resuscitated CA patients at Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital (MRRH) was low, survivors had a good neurologic outcome. CA in the OR, CPR <20 minutes, and prevention of hypotension postarrest seemed to be associated with survival.

Surgical, Obstetric, and Anesthetic Mortality Measurement at a Ugandan Secondary Referral Hospital.

BACKGROUND: The health care systems of low-income countries have severely limited capacity to treat surgical diseases and conditions. There is limited information about which hospital mortality outcomes are suitable metrics in these settings. METHODS: We did a 1-year observational cohort study of patient admissions to the Surgery and the Obstetrics and Gynecology departments and of newborns delivered at a Ugandan secondary referral hospital. We examined the proportion of deaths captured by standardized metrics of mortality. RESULTS: There were 17,015 admissions and 9612 deliveries. A total of 847 deaths were documented: 385 (45.5%) admission deaths and 462 (54.5%) perinatal deaths. Less than one-third of admission deaths occurred during or after an operation (n = 126/385, 32.7%). Trauma and maternal mortality combined with perioperative mortality produced 79.2% (n = 305/385) of admission deaths. Of 462 perinatal deaths, 412 (90.1%) were stillborn, and 50 (10.9%) were early neonatal deaths. The combined metrics of the trauma mortality rate, maternal mortality ratio, thirty-day perioperative mortality rate, and perinatal mortality rate captured 89.8% (n = 761/847) of all deaths documented at the hospital. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of perinatal, maternal, trauma, and perioperative mortality metrics captured most deaths documented at a Ugandan referral hospital.

Outcome Measurement at a Ugandan Referral Hospital: Validation of the Mbarara Surgical Services Quality Assurance Database.

BACKGROUND: Five billion people lack access to surgery. Accurate and complete data have been identified as essential to the global scale-up of perioperative care. This study retrospectively validates the Mbarara Surgical Services Quality Assurance Database (SQUAD), an electronic outcomes database at a Ugandan secondary referral hospital. METHODS: SQUAD data were compared to paper records from August 2013 to January 2017. To assess data entry accuracy, two researchers independently extracted 24 patient variables from 170 charts. To assess completeness of patient capture, SQUAD entries were compared to a sample of charts returned to the Medical Records Department, and to a sample of entries in ward and operating room logbooks. Two-tailed binomial proportions with 95% CI were calculated from the comparative results of patient observations, against a predefined accuracy of 0.85-0.95. RESULTS: Agreement between completed validation observations from charts and SQUAD data was 91.5% (n = 3734/4080 data points). Binomial tests indicated that 15 variables had higher than 95% accuracy. A total 19 of 24 variables had ≥ 85% accuracy. The completeness of SQUAD patient capture was 98.2% (n = 167/170) of charts returned to the Medical Records Department, 97.5% (n = 198/203) of operating logbook entries, and 100% (n = 111/111) of ward logbook entries, respectively. CONCLUSION: SQUAD closely reflects the primary surgical and anaesthetic data at a Ugandan secondary hospital. Data accuracy of key variables and completeness of population capture were comparable to those of databases in high-income countries and outperformed those of other low- and middle-income countries.

A Randomized Controlled Trial of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery Versus Standard of Care Recovery for Emergency Cesarean Deliveries at Mbarara Hospital, Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) expedites return to patient baseline and functional status by reducing surgical trauma, stress, and organ dysfunction. Despite the potential benefits of enhanced recovery protocols, limited research has been done in low-resource settings, where 95% of cesarean deliveries are emergent and could possibly benefit from the application of ERAS protocols. METHODS: In a prospective, randomized, single-blind, controlled trial, mothers delivering by emergency cesarean delivery were randomly assigned to either an ERAS or a standard of care (SOC) recovery arm. Patients in the ERAS arm were treated with a modified ERAS protocol that included modified counseling and education, prophylactic antibiotics, antiemetics, normothermia, restrictive fluid administration, and multimodal analgesia. They also received early initiation of mobilization, feeding, and urethral catheter removal. The primary end point was length of hospital stay. The secondary end points were complications and readmission rates. Mean length of stay in the intervention and control arms were compared using t tests. Statistical analyses were performed using STATA version 13 (College Station, TX). RESULTS: A total of 160 patients were enrolled in the study, with 80 randomized to each arm. There was a statistically significant shorter length of stay for the ERAS arm compared to SOC, with a difference of -18.5 hours (P < .001, 95% confidence interval [CI], -23.67, -13.34). The incidence of complications of severe pain and headache was lower in the ERAS arm compared to SOC (P = .001 for both complications). However, pruritus was more common in the ERAS arm compared to SOC (P = .023). CONCLUSIONS: Use of an ERAS protocol for women undergoing emergency cesarean delivery in a low-income setting is feasible and reduces length of hospital stay without generally increasing the complication rate.

Validation of an Electronic Surgical Outcomes Database at Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital, Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Accurate, complete and sustainable methods of tracking patients and outcomes in low-resource settings are imperative as we launch efforts to improve surgical care globally. The Surgical services QUality Assessment Database (SQUAD) at the Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital in Uganda is one of very few electronic surgical databases in a low-resource setting. We evaluated the completeness and accuracy of SQUAD. METHODS: Data were prospectively collected on 20 of the most clinically relevant variables captured by SQUAD for all general surgery patients admitted to MRRH over a two-week period. Patients were followed until discharge, death or hospital day 30; whichever occurred first. These data were compared to that in SQUAD for the same time period for completeness and accuracy. RESULTS: Of 186 unique patients seen over the two-week period, 172 (92.5%) were captured by SQUAD. The capture rate was greater than 86% for each of the 20 variables evaluated, except American Society of Anesthesiologists score, which had a 69% capture rate. Regarding accuracy, there was almost perfect agreement for 16/20 variables (all k > 0.81), substantial agreement for 2/20 variables (k 0.63, 0.73) and moderate agreement for the remaining 2/20 variables (k 0.43, 0.48) between SQUAD and the prospectively collected data. CONCLUSION: SQUAD is an electronic surgical database that has been implemented and sustained in a low-resource setting. For the 20 variables evaluated, the data within SQUAD are highly complete and accurate. This database may serve as a model for the development of additional surgical databases in low-resource environments.

Prevalence and correlates of MRSA and MSSA nasal carriage at a Ugandan regional referral hospital.

Background: Despite increasing antimicrobial resistance globally, data are lacking on prevalence and factors associated with Staphylococcus aureus (SA) and MRSA carriage in resource-limited settings. Objectives: To determine the prevalence of SA and MRSA nasal carriage and factors associated with carriage among Ugandan regional referral hospital patients. Methods: We enrolled a cross-section of 500 adults, sampling anterior nares for SA and MRSA carriage using Cepheid Xpert SA Nasal Complete. Results: Mean age was 37 years; 321 (64%) were female and 166 (33%) were HIV infected. Overall, 316 (63%) reported risk factors for invasive SA infection; 368 (74%) reported current antibiotic use. SA was detected in 29% and MRSA in 2.8%. MRSA and MSSA carriers were less likely than SA non-carriers to be female (50% and 56% versus 68%, P = 0.03) or to have recently used ß-lactam antibiotics (43% and 65% versus 73%, P = 0.01). MRSA carriers were more likely to have open wounds than MSSA carriers and SA non-carriers (71% versus 27% and 40%, P = 0.001) and contact with pigs (21% versus 2% and 6%, P = 0.008). MRSA carriage ranged from 0% of HIV clinic participants to 8% of inpatient surgical ward participants ( P = 0.01). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, male sex was independently associated with SA carriage (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.12-2.53, P = 0.01) and recent ß-lactam antibiotic use was associated with reduced odds of SA carriage (OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.38-0.97, P = 0.04). Conclusions: MRSA nasal carriage prevalence was low and associated with pig contact, open wounds and surgical ward admission, but not with HIV infection.

Retrospective Descriptive Study of an Intensive Care Unit at a Ugandan Regional Referral Hospital.

BACKGROUND: We describe delivery and outcomes of critical care at Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital, a Ugandan secondary referral hospital serving a large, widely dispersed rural population. METHODS: Retrospective observational study of ICU admissions was performed from January 2008 to December 2011. RESULTS: Of 431 admissions, 239 (55.4 %) were female, and 142 (33.2 %) were children (<18 years). The median length of stay was 2 (IQR 1-4) days, with 365 patients (85 %) staying less than 8 days. Indications for admission were surgical 49.3 % (n = 213), medical/pediatric 27.4 % (n = 118), or obstetrical/gynecological 22.3 % (n = 96). The overall mortality rate was 37.6 % (162/431) [adults 39.3 % (n = 113/287), children 33.5 % (n = 48/143), unspecified age 100 % (n = 1/1)]. Of the 162 deaths, 76 (46.9 %) occurred on the first, 20 (12.3 %) on the second, 23 (14.2 %) on the third, and 43 (26.5 %) on a subsequent day of admission. Mortality rates for common diagnoses were surgical abdomen 31.9 % (n = 29/91), trauma 45.5 % (n = 30/66), head trauma 59.6 % (n = 28/47), and poisoning 28.6 % (n = 10/35). The rate of mechanical ventilation was 49.7 % (n = 214/431). The mortality rate of ventilated patients was 73.5 % (n = 119/224). The multivariate odd ratio estimates of mortality were significant for ventilation [aOR 6.15 (95 % CI 3.83-9.87), p < 0.0001] and for length of stay beyond seven days [aOR 0.37 (95 % CI 0.19-0.70), p = 0.0021], but not significant for decade of age [aOR 1.06 (95 % CI 0.94-1.20), p = 0.33], gender [aOR 0.61(95 % CI 0.38-0.99), p = 0.07], or diagnosis type [medical vs. surgical aOR 1.08 (95 % CI 0. 63-1.84), medical vs. obstetric/gynecology aOR 0.73 (95 % CI 0.37-1.43), p = 0.49]. CONCLUSIONS: The ICU predominantly functions as an acute care unit for critically ill young patients, with most deaths occurring within the first 48 h of admission. Expansion of critical care capacity in low-income countries should be accompanied by measurement of the nature and impact of this intervention.

Ultrasound guided transversus abdominis plane versus sham blocks after caesarean section in an Ugandan village hospital: a prospective, randomised, double-blinded, single-centre study.

BACKGROUND: Transversus abdominis plane (TAP) block provides 12-24 h of analgesia to the parietal peritoneum and abdominal wall, and are best used combined with oral or intravenous medications. Despite ease of use, a large margin of safety, and a high success rate, TAP blocks remain under used in settings where patients could most benefit from their use. Previous studies have used oral or intravenous narcotics for supplementation. However, the efficacy of TAP blocks in low-resourced settings where patients do not have dependable access to these medications is unknown. This study examines TAP block analgesic efficacy after caesarean section in a poorly resourced setting. We compared the post-operative status of 170 women with self-administered paracetamol-diclofenac with or without TAP blocks. We hypothesised that the block would decrease pain at 8 h, 16 h, and 24 h at rest, with coughing and upon standing. METHODS: Between Oct 31, and Dec 28, 2013, 180 women were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive either TAP or sham blocks after caesarean section. Bi-institutional (Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital and Massachusetts General Hospital) institutional review board approval was obtained for this single-centre study. After informed written consent, patients received TAP or sham blocks after caesarian section. Inclusion criteria for enrolment were: age 18 years or older, weight at least 50 kg, no allergies to study medications, otherwise healthy (American Society of Anesthesiologists classification status I or II), and having undergone elective, urgent, or emergent caesarian section under spinal anaesthesia without sedation. Under ultrasound guidance, 20-25 mL of 0·25% bupivacaine (epinephrine 1:400 000) were injected near the triangles-of-Petit. Sham blocks consisted of a transducer with a needleless syringe pressed over each flank. In the post-anaesthesia recovery area, all patients received 1000 mg paracetamol and 50 mg diclofenac, orally, to be continued on an 8-h schedule for 3 days. A skilled (masked) research nurse collected all data. The primary outcomes measured were numerical rating scale at 8 h, 16 h, and 24 h at rest, with coughing, and upon standing. The association between the pain scores at each time and type of treatment (TAP vs sham blocks) was assessed using general linear model with repeated measures. Demographics were compared using the two sample t-test (appendix). FINDINGS: 170 patients completed the study; 86 in the sham group and 84 in the study group. Demographics (age, weight, and parity) were similar between both study groups. One participant from the sham group was missing parity information (appendix). Preliminary data analysis showed reduced pain scores at all times, and with all degrees of movement for the TAP group (appendix). The largest reduction in pain was at 8 h (resting 33%, coughing 36%, and standing 44%). With time, the pain scores of the TAP group changed a little, whereas a decreasing trend can be noted in the sham group. No adverse events occurred. INTERPRETATION: This study show a significant improvement in pain scores for obstetric patients receiving a transversus abdominis plane block in comparison to standard of care in a low income, limited resource setting. The use of these blocks shows the use of an easy, inexpensive, and achievable pain control option. Especially in resource-limited areas, this approach could allow for better pain management and a new standard of care for the world's most common operative procedure. FUNDING: Eleanor and Miles Harvard Medical School Shore Fellowship Grant, and Massachusetts General Hospital, DACCPM Faculty Development Grant.